Elect Socialism

A guide for comrades

How to Vote Split

In 2023, the UCP won Calgary-North by just 129 votes: 7,927 to 7,798.1 That's one apartment building. One church potluck. One cousin's wedding.

Now imagine some of those UCP voters had picked a different right-wing party instead. Drag the slider. Watch history happen.

Calgary-North, 2023

UCP
7,927
NDP
7,798
Republicans + Tories
0

The UCP holds Calgary-North. The revolution is postponed.

Across Alberta, if 2% of UCP voters in every riding had picked another party, 2 UCP seats would have gone NDP. At 5%, 3 seats. At 10%, 6. At 20%, 9.7

The closest UCP wins of 2023

RidingUCP margin (votes)
Calgary-North1291
Calgary-North West1432
Calgary-Cross5143
Calgary-Bow6234
Lethbridge-East6365
Calgary-East6986

It's already working. In the September 2026 Calgary-Shaw by-election, the Progressive Tories took 977 votes. The NDP won by 591.8 Comrades, we didn't even have a website yet.

Three steps to real socialism

  1. Find a conservative.

    Uncles, coworkers, the guy at the hardware store. They're everywhere. That's the problem.

  2. Recommend literally any party except the UCP.

    Republicans for separatists. Progressive Tories for moderates. The Wildrose Independence Party for nostalgics. Be warm. Be supportive. Be a friend.

  3. Wait for socialism.

    It has never been tried. This time, we'll get it right.

Riding boundaries for 2027 aren't final yet.9 Election day is Monday, October 18, 2027.10 Check elections.ab.ca for where and how to vote.

The numbers (that don't matter)

We cite our sources. We just don't read them.

  1. 2023: Calgary-North was won by the UCP by 129 votes (0.82% of valid votes) over the NDP. To flip it, 130 UCP voters (about 1.6% of the UCP vote) would have to stop voting UCP without moving to the NDP. Elections Alberta · H19
  2. 2023: Calgary-North West was won by the UCP by 143 votes (0.58% of valid votes) over the NDP. To flip it, 144 UCP voters (about 1.2% of the UCP vote) would have to stop voting UCP without moving to the NDP. Elections Alberta · H20
  3. 2023: Calgary-Cross was won by the UCP by 514 votes (3.42% of valid votes) over the NDP. To flip it, 515 UCP voters (about 6.8% of the UCP vote) would have to stop voting UCP without moving to the NDP. Elections Alberta · H24
  4. 2023: Calgary-Bow was won by the UCP by 623 votes (2.35% of valid votes) over the NDP. To flip it, 624 UCP voters (about 4.7% of the UCP vote) would have to stop voting UCP without moving to the NDP. Elections Alberta · H26
  5. 2023: Lethbridge-East was won by the UCP by 636 votes (2.91% of valid votes) over the NDP. To flip it, 637 UCP voters (about 5.8% of the UCP vote) would have to stop voting UCP without moving to the NDP. Elections Alberta · H27
  6. 2023: Calgary-East was won by the UCP by 698 votes (4.92% of valid votes) over the NDP. To flip it, 699 UCP voters (about 9.8% of the UCP vote) would have to stop voting UCP without moving to the NDP. Elections Alberta · H28
  7. Holding everything else at 2023 levels, if 2% of a riding's UCP voters had stopped voting UCP (without voting NDP), 2 UCP seats would have gone NDP; at 5%, 3; at 10%, 6; at 20%, 9 (of 49 UCP-held). Elections Alberta (data), our arithmetic · H32
  8. In the September 14, 2026 Calgary-Shaw by-election the NDP's Kyle Campbell won with 7,464 votes (46.7%) over the UCP's 6,873 (43.0%), a margin of 591; the Progressive Tory Party got 977 (6.1%), more than the margin. Turnout was 35.9%. Elections Alberta · H38
  9. The number and shape of ridings for the 2027 election is unsettled: a commission recommended 89 ridings in March 2026, and on April 16, 2026 the government moved to replace that process with a government-led committee and a possible 91 seats. We could not confirm the final map. Wikipedia · H13
  10. The next Alberta general election is scheduled for October 18, 2027 (third Monday in October of the 4th calendar year after the last general election), though the Lieutenant Governor can dissolve the Legislature earlier. Elections Alberta · H12

Every source on the site →